All last week, Fox News was bracing its viewers for an 16-18 point bounce for Kerry coming off the convention. Knowing the bounce is happening on what many call a "concrete trampoline" - the hardline decidedness of most of the voters - Fox can proclaim the Dems' convention a failure if the polls come in any lower than that.
Let's see what they predict for Bush's bounce. My guess is that they'll try to pull the "honesty" card and admit they shot too high for Kerry, so they'll keep the expectations low - like 4-6 points. That way, a 7-point jump will "shatter all expectations."
(Damn phone's ringing) Hang on...Rupert's calling to offer me a job...